Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.247730 1.527848 1.892016 2.417251 3.187428 4.335453 6.316593
2025-12-07 0.890611 1.193667 1.650212 2.447373 3.967357 7.253040 17.622240
2025-12-14 0.696185 0.982016 1.451810 2.380448 4.530439 11.030892 57.366876
2025-12-21 0.583003 0.852592 1.324670 2.352046 5.161824 17.204215 465.528613
2025-12-28 0.531576 0.807340 1.324275 2.579817 6.821810 39.024906 NaN
2026-01-04 0.482301 0.752872 1.286412 2.699136 8.447024 98.070112 NaN
2026-01-11 0.434453 0.690830 1.214242 2.688468 9.629528 269.069628 NaN
2026-01-18 0.390885 0.629285 1.127578 2.592899 10.290550 879.540593 NaN
2026-01-25 0.363364 0.594425 1.092491 2.644872 12.208176 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.343827 0.572254 1.081493 2.776686 15.523353 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.320544 0.539107 1.036505 2.762587 17.669505 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.297000 0.502602 0.976280 2.662032 18.584469 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.284447 0.488334 0.971804 2.800203 24.670454 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.268886 0.465842 0.941571 2.814121 29.478416 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.252054 0.438823 0.894471 2.727919 31.688085 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.238515 0.417776 0.860568 2.692488 35.973796 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.234402 0.417256 0.884274 2.971267 62.780372 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.227058 0.408545 0.882614 3.118339 98.859100 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.216974 0.392508 0.856268 3.105153 126.417716 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.205743 0.372888 0.816235 2.987324 133.941211 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.198859 0.362957 0.804787 3.051348 208.640165 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.194106 0.357646 0.806994 3.214296 486.030039 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.186772 0.345516 0.785479 3.196828 778.422388 NaN NaN